The college baseball season started over the weekend and it provided an opportunity to watch players for the first time in about 11 months. The University of Miami took the series against the number one ranked Florida Gators and the …
Scouting: Notes and Observations from the First Week of College Baseball Read more »
Statcast has provided data from Trackman and Hawkeye that can be better used to evaluate players using quantitative data. I’ve already looked at spring speed and how it relates with the scouting grade for a player’s run with today looking …
Scouting: Estimating Raw Power With Statcast Data Read more »
The New York Yankees this offseason have acquired two starting pitchers that both deepens their starting rotation and acquires players who have strong right tail outcomes where these players have shown the ability to lead rotations in the past. The …
Roster Construction Theory: New York Yankees Starting Rotation Read more »
In baseball, there’s three main scouting methods: Future Value (placing a grade on the 20-80 scale), Overall Future Potential (OFP; the 75th percentile on the 20-80 scale), and the Theo Epstein scale (which uses a letter and number system). Translating …
James Surowiecki wrote The Wisdom of Crowds back in 2004 discussing the power that crowds have over one person when it comes to predictions and there are three conditions that need to be met for a wise crowd: Diversity Independent …
Prospect Theory: The Importance of the Wisdom of Crowds Read more »
MLB started using a radar based solution called Trackman back in 2015 for player tracking and they introduced a new measurement in 2017 called sprint speed with the metric being updated in 2018. We can use this information to understand …
Scouting: Comparing Prospect Grades With Sprint Speed Read more »
On Christmas Eve, the Pirates and Washington Nationals came to a deal with the Pirates shipping off first baseman Josh Bell (28) for pitchers Wil Crowe (26) and Eddy Yean (19.5). For the Nationals, the club needed a first baseman …
Billy Beane provides a lot of excellent quotes in Moneyball, but perhaps none better than the following exchange with a scout: “Over and over the old scouts will say, “The guy has a great body,” or, “This guy may be …
Baseball Prospectus released their new version of a runs allowed estimator back in 2015. The new measurement called Deserved Run Average (DRA), is a mixed model controlling for various factors (adjusts for context such as score and catching framing for …
Analyzing Pitchers: Supplementing DRA with Statcast Data Read more »
Internally at TDK Baseball, I have been working to move a version of scouting a stat line to a regression based model, focusing on estimated WAR and Future Value grades of prospects. The initial iteration had Mitch Keller’s 2019 season …
Scouting Pitchers: An Insight on Griffin Canning, Mitch Keller, and JT Brubaker Read more »