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Category: Decision Making

Prospect Theory: We’re Here to Sell Jeans

Posted on December 1, 2020 Posted in Decision Making, Scouting No Comments

Billy Beane provides a lot of excellent quotes in Moneyball, but perhaps none better than the following exchange with a scout: “Over and over the old scouts will say, “The guy has a great body,” or, “This guy may be …

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Prospect Theory: Mental Accounting… Delayed Production

Posted on October 23, 2020 Posted in Decision Making No Comments

This post is another on the topic of behavioral economic theory, after writing about understanding bias in decision making by the manager and General Manager and further by looking at how Prospect Theory can explain why teams are hesitant to …

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Prospect Theory: Trading Prospect Capital

Posted on October 14, 2020 Posted in Decision Making No Comments

In my last blog post, I referenced behavioral economics and tried to explain why field managers and front offices make certain decisions. There was one behavioral economics theory – the most commonly known one – that I left out, Prospect …

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Understanding Bias in Decision Making: Managerial and Front Office

Posted on October 3, 2020 Posted in Decision Making 2 Comments

My background is in economics – it is my undergraduate degree and I am currently a master’s student in the subject – and one of the biggest components in the field is understanding decision making. How does a firm maximize …

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Projecting The MLB Season: Creating a Model

Posted on June 24, 2020 Posted in Decision Making No Comments

Major League Baseball has mandated a 60 game season, which will cause changes in the playoffs. Baseball is the proverbial marathon where one game doesn’t mean as much given the amount of games played. Over a 162 game season, the …

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Coaching Decisions: Risk on the Bases

Posted on May 19, 2020 Posted in Decision Making No Comments

On Monday, Mike Persak of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette wrote on a piece called “Pirates on pause: Is it time to be more aggressive on the bases?” Mike had a conclusion of “Basically, the Pirates weren’t very aggressive with stealing bases, …

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