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Evaluating Infield Defense: Data Visualization and Creating a Model

Posted on July 2, 2020 Posted in Game Play No Comments
Evaluating Infield Defense: Data Visualization and Creating a Model

There are main stays for evaluating defense. FanGraphs provides the results for Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR) and Defensive Runs Saved (DRS), Baseball Prospectus has Fielding Runs Above Average (FRAA), and Baseball Savant has released Outs Above Average (OAA), using Statcast …

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Projecting The MLB Season: Creating a Model

Posted on June 24, 2020 Posted in Decision Making No Comments

Major League Baseball has mandated a 60 game season, which will cause changes in the playoffs. Baseball is the proverbial marathon where one game doesn’t mean as much given the amount of games played. Over a 162 game season, the …

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Evaluating the 2020 MLB Draft: Understanding the Model

Posted on June 23, 2020 Posted in MLB Draft No Comments

Last week, I gave my general thoughts about the draft and a deep review of the Pittsburgh Pirates draft, including a breakdown of what Nick Garcia, Jack Hartman, and Logan Hofmann’s Trackman data were. This post will be about updating …

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Reviewing the MLB Draft: General Thoughts and the Pittsburgh Pirates

Posted on June 18, 2020 Posted in MLB Draft 1 Comment

The Major League Draft finished up last Friday, where the Big Board provided the consensus of ESPN, Keith Law, Baseball America, MLB Pipeline, and FanGraphs draft rankings, taking only the top 100 players. This Big Board provided a consensus view …

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Evaluating MLB Hitters: Creating a Model

Posted on June 17, 2020 Posted in Game Play No Comments

Statcast, through the use of Trackman and soon to be Hawkeye, has provided data on exit velocities, launch angles, and other varies inputs. This allowed Dr. Jim Albert, of Bowling Green State, to creating a model to estimate the probability …

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MLB Proposal: COVID-19 Risk and Wage Differentials

Posted on June 8, 2020 Posted in Labor 2 Comments

Major League Baseball and the Players Association are negotiating to play the 2020 season. The latest proposal is a 76 game season with 75 of a percent prorated salary, or in other words, 35 percent of their initial salary (76/162*0.75). …

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Predicting the MLB Draft: Understanding the Model

Posted on May 25, 2020 Posted in MLB Draft No Comments

I recently wrote about projecting the 2020 MLB Draft, providing the full methodology and data used for the model, the limitations, and ways to improve the model. It was inspired by the NFL Draft modeling done by ESPN, and it’s …

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Predicting the MLB Draft: Creating a Model

Posted on May 23, 2020 Posted in MLB Draft No Comments

The MLB Draft starts on June 10th, with this year being five rounds this year with all undrafted free agents capped at $20,000. There are three types of people when it comes to risk: risk averse, risk neutral, and risk …

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Coaching Decisions: Risk on the Bases

Posted on May 19, 2020 Posted in Decision Making No Comments

On Monday, Mike Persak of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette wrote on a piece called “Pirates on pause: Is it time to be more aggressive on the bases?” Mike had a conclusion of “Basically, the Pirates weren’t very aggressive with stealing bases, …

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Evaluating the MLB Draft: Creating a Model

Posted on May 12, 2020 Posted in MLB Draft No Comments

The MLB Draft allows for teams to add to their organization through a process of selecting players starting with the 1965 draft. In 2002, the Oakland Athletics draft was deemed the Moneyball Draft as the organization tried to use statistical …

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